Investor jitters hit AI data centre start-up Firmus ahead of ASX listing

Co-founder Oliver Curtis faces potential $1 billion paper loss as share price cut and listing fears emerge

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Sources3 outlets
AI data centre start-up Firmus, co-founded by former inmate Oliver Curtis, is struggling to secure its planned ASX listing after its bankers cut the share price for institutional investors from $11 to $8.25, raising concerns the October 23 float could collapse and slashing billions from Curtis's paper wealth.

Seven-year-old Firmus had aimed to go public this month at a $43.7 billion valuation, marking a dramatic redemption story for Curtis, a former resident of Cooma Correctional Centre who now owns about 13 per cent of the company and stood to see his stake worth billions. But on Thursday morning, its plans were hanging in the balance after institutional investors balked at the price in a volatile market.

According to sources reported by The Australian Financial Review, the share price adjustment could imply a drop in Curtis's paper wealth in the region of $1 billion.

Investors have grown wary of Firmus's high valuation relative to its modest revenue and aggressive expansion forecasts. The company has only two data centres in operation and reportedly recorded $50 million in revenue last year. Its target valuation was roughly 874 times that revenue figure. Meanwhile, it has rapidly escalated its valuation from $1.2 billion in late 2024 to $6 billion in November 2025, $15 billion in August this year, and then attempting to more than double again this month.

Firmus's business plan involves building many data centres globally and selling their output to AI giants like Meta. Even by the standards of the AI boom, the growth trajectory has been described as staggeringly fast.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The success or failure of Firmus's listing will test investor appetite for high-priced, early-stage AI infrastructure plays in a market that has already seen some froth.
  • Oliver Curtis's personal story adds a human dimension to the corporate drama, but the real significance is whether the IPO can proceed at all.
  • If the float collapses, it could signal a broader pullback in speculative AI infrastructure investment, affecting other start-ups seeking public listings.

Background

Oliver Curtis is a former inmate of Cooma Correctional Centre who co-founded Firmus, an AI data centre company. He served time for insider trading. The company has been on an aggressive fundraising trajectory, raising money at escalating valuations in late 2024, November 2025, and August this year, with plans for an IPO that would value it at $43.7 billion.

Key Perspectives

Oliver Curtis / Firmus management: Bet huge on the AI infrastructure boom, seeking a premium valuation based on ambitious rollout plans and anticipated demand from companies like Meta. The IPO would cement their turnaround story and provide capital for expansion. Institutional investors: Showing caution, reportedly cutting the offer price from $11 to $8.25 amid concerns about the company's minimal revenue compared to its massive valuation. The 874 times revenue multiple is hard to justify even in a bullish AI market. Critics/Skeptics: Point to the stark contrast with Nvidia, which has grown revenue more than tenfold over five years, while Firmus operates only two data centres. The rapid valuation escalation from $1.2 billion to $43.7 billion in under two years raises questions about fundamentals.

What to Watch

  • Whether the October 23 listing date holds or is postponed or cancelled.
  • The final IPO price and whether the company gets the full $43.7 billion valuation or a discount.
  • Any public statements from Firmus's bankers or management about investor demand and the pricing decision.

Sources

Zotpaper

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