The MMX spacecraft lifted off at 04:41 JST and separated from its launch vehicle 17 minutes later. It is now on course to reach Mars in August 2027, where it will enter orbit around the planet before transferring to an orbit around Phobos about a month later.
The mission consists of an orbiter and a small lander called Idefix, developed by Germany and France. Idefix will be dropped onto the Phobos surface from between 40 and 100 meters altitude, the moon’s weak gravity means the rover will simply right itself and begin science operations. It will help identify a suitable landing site for the main sample collection phase.
In 2030, the orbiter will land on Phobos, either once or twice, and collect at least 10 grams of regolith. After collection, MMX will perform flybys of Mars’ other moon, Deimos, before returning to Earth. The sample return capsule will separate from the mission’s Return Module and land at the Woomera Prohibited Area in South Australia, while the Return Module burns up in the atmosphere. The samples are expected to arrive on Earth in 2031.
The origins of Phobos and Deimos remain a vigorous debate in planetary science. One leading theory holds that a giant impact on Mars early in the Solar System created a debris ring from which both moons formed. Another suggests both are captured asteroids. A third possibility is that Mars captured a single asteroid that was shredded by gravity into a ring, with both moons forming from that debris. A more complex scenario involves a massive impact, a large moon, and a retinue of smaller moons that eventually crashed back into the planet, leaving only Phobos and Deimos.
A sample of just 10 grams of Phobos regolith, combined with MMX’s remote sensing data, could resolve the debate. If the material matches Mars’ mineralogy and isotopic composition, it supports the giant impact scenario. If it matches asteroidal material, it supports the capture theory. A hybrid result would indicate a partial capture or complex formation process.
JAXA has a strong track record with sample returns: Hayabusa brought back material from asteroid Itokawa in 2010, and Hayabusa2 returned samples from asteroid Ryugu in 2020. The agency’s experience suggests a high probability of success for MMX.