The study, which analysed Decipher test scores for more than 6,000 men, found that higher scores consistently predicted worse outcomes and could identify patients whose disease had not yet spread to lymph nodes but would still benefit from the hormone therapy abiraterone to prevent further spread.
Decipher works by analysing cellular genetics from a small portion of an existing tissue biopsy, measuring how aggressive a tumour is and evaluating its likelihood of spreading. It produces a score ranging from calm and less likely to spread to aggressive with a high risk of spreading.
The research follows earlier findings from UCL that combining standard treatment with abiraterone, which stops testosterone from fuelling the cancer, halved mortality risks and slowed disease progression in high-risk cases.
Dr Sarah Howlett of the UCL Cancer Institute said: “For men with very high-risk prostate cancer, preventing the cancer from spreading is critical, and understanding who benefits most from additional treatment can make a meaningful difference. Our findings suggest that a genomic test could help personalise treatment: men with high-risk disease but a low Decipher score have low rates of cancer spread and could potentially be spared more intensive treatment, while men with a high score could be prioritised for it. Showing the same pattern in both a large real-world dataset and a randomised clinical trial strengthens the findings. But further validation in other datasets is needed before the test is used routinely to make these decisions.”
In January, NHS England widened eligibility for abiraterone to include men whose high-risk cancer has not yet spread, after it was previously only available to those with advanced disease.
Elai Davicioni, medical director of urology at Veracyte, which makes the Decipher test, said: “We believe this growing evidence gives physicians a stronger reason to use Decipher before making decisions that can affect both cancer outcomes and patients’ quality of life. These findings expand Decipher’s predictive evidence to another consequential treatment decision: whether adding abiraterone will provide meaningful benefit for a man with very high-risk prostate cancer.”