NextDC shares plunge 42% as community opposition stalls Melbourne grid upgrade

Australian data centre operator cuts revenue forecast and halts new projects, joining a global selloff in AI infrastructure stocks

By LineZotpaper
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NextDC, the Brisbane-based data centre operator, saw its shares fall 41.7% on Wednesday after it sharply cut its annual revenue and earnings forecasts, blaming community opposition and delays to grid upgrades at its M3 Melbourne facility. The company also slashed capital expenditure by 750 million Australian dollars ($527 million) and put land acquisitions and new developments on hold, the latest casualty of a widening investor retreat from AI infrastructure stocks.

In an exchange filing to the Australian Securities Exchange, NextDC cut its revenue forecast to between 475 million and 500 million Australian dollars ($333 million to $350 million), down from a previous range of 615 million to 640 million Australian dollars. It also lowered its forecast for earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to between 245 million and 265 million Australian dollars ($172 million to $186 million).

The company blamed setbacks at its M3 Melbourne data centre. Jemena, the electricity provider supplying power to the facility, suspended part of its improvement works last month and does not expect to restart them before February 2027.

"Jemena has suspended parts of the network works required for the next increase in grid supply to M3 Melbourne," NextDC chief executive Craig Scroggie said in the filing. "Jemena has attributed the suspension to community and stakeholder opposition to the works and to the absence of local council consent pending further consultation."

Australian data centres, like their US counterparts, are drawing protests from local communities worried about the impact on power and water supplies and worsening noise pollution.

NextDC's plunge caps a rough period for data centre and AI infrastructure companies. On Oct 9, Australian operator Firmus abruptly cancelled its local IPO, which was set to be one of the country's largest debuts, opting instead to raise funds through private markets amid investor concerns about debt and a lack of construction track record. Blackstone-owned AirTrunk postponed a Singapore listing for its real estate investment trust on Oct 13, according to media reports.

Last week, bonds from US-based neocloud CoreWeave plunged below 80 cents on the dollar, a level typically signalling financial strain. Elon Musk responded with a "yikes" post on X. On Oct 20, shares of South Korean cloud provider Elice Group plunged 32% on their first day of trading, before recovering 30% on Wednesday. Bloomberg reported that Singapore-based DayOne Data Centers is considering delaying or cutting the size of its upcoming US IPO.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The selloff signals growing investor caution about the cost and feasibility of AI data centre buildouts, which have driven much of the recent market enthusiasm.
  • Community opposition and grid constraints are emerging as operational risks that can delay projects and directly hit company earnings, not just in Australia but globally.
  • NextDC's forecasts and halted developments affect the pace of cloud and AI capacity in Australia, with consequences for local technology infrastructure.

Background

Data centre operators have expanded rapidly to meet demand for AI and cloud computing, building large facilities that draw significant electricity and water. That expansion has increasingly collided with local communities and with power networks that were not designed for such loads. In Australia, as in the US, residents and councils have pushed back over noise, water use and grid strain, forcing operators and utilities to pause or rework projects.

Key Perspectives

NextDC: The company presents the setback as external, citing Jemena's decision to suspend network works due to community and stakeholder opposition and the absence of council consent. Its response has been to cut spending and pause new projects.

Jemena and local communities: Jemena attributes the suspension to community and stakeholder opposition and pending council consultation, pointing to local concerns as the reason work cannot proceed.

Investors: The market reaction has been severe, with NextDC's shares dropping sharply and a wider re-rating of AI infrastructure stocks, including cancelled IPOs and falling bond prices, suggesting investors are reassessing the risk and returns of these projects.

What to Watch

  • Whether Jemena restarts the M3 grid works in February 2027 or earlier, and whether consultation resolves the opposition.
  • The fate of DayOne Data Centers' US IPO, which Bloomberg reports may be delayed or downsized.
  • NextDC's next earnings updates and whether it resets its capital expenditure plans for the following financial year.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 10 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedNextDC chief executive Craig Scroggie said, “Jemena has suspended parts of the network works required for the next increase in grid supply to M3 Melbourne.”Fortune | FORTUNE: ““Jemena has suspended parts of the network works required for the next increase in grid supply to M3 Melbourne,” Craig Scroggie, NextDC’s CEO, said in the stock filing.”
  2. SupportedScroggie said Jemena attributed the suspension to community and stakeholder opposition and the absence of local council consent pending further consultation.Fortune | FORTUNE: ““Jemena has attributed the suspension to community and stakeholder opposition to the works and to the absence of local council consent pending further consultation.””
  3. SupportedNextDC shares fell 41.7% on Wednesday, rounded to 42% in the headline.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Shares in the Brisbane-based company fell by 41.7% on Wednesday”
  4. SupportedCommunity opposition stalled the grid upgrade at NextDC’s Melbourne facility.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Australians also don’t like data centers: NextDC shares fall 42% after community opposition stalls a grid upgrade.”
  5. Partly supportedThe summary characterises the developments as part of a global selloff in AI infrastructure stocks.Fortune | FORTUNE: “NextDC, an Australian data center operator, is the latest such company to get hit by a growing investor selloff of AI stocks.”
  6. SupportedNextDC cut its revenue forecast from A$615–640 million to A$475–500 million.Fortune | FORTUNE: “NextDC now expects to generate between 475 million and 500 million Australian dollars ($333 million to $350 million), down from a previous forecast of 615 million to 640 million Australian dollars.”
  7. SupportedNextDC cut its EBITDA forecast to A$245–265 million.Fortune | FORTUNE: “It also cut its forecast for earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to between 245 million Australian dollars and 265 million Australian dollars ($172 million to $186 million)”
  8. SupportedNextDC cut capital expenditure by A$750 million ($527 million).Fortune | FORTUNE: “NextDC also cut its capital expenditure by 750 million Australian dollars ($527 million)”
  9. SupportedNextDC put land acquisitions and new development projects on hold.Fortune | FORTUNE: “and put land aquisitions and new development projects “on hold for the foreseeable future.””
  10. SupportedJemena suspended part of its improvement works last month and did not expect to restart them before February 2027.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Jemena, an electricity provider that supplies power to M3, suspended part of its improvement works last month; it does not expect to restart them before February 2027.”
  11. SupportedFirmus cancelled its Australian IPO on Oct. 9.Fortune | FORTUNE: “On Oct. 9, Firmus—another Australian data center operator— abruptly canceled its Australian IPO”
  12. Partly supportedInvestors were concerned about Firmus’s debt and lack of a construction track record.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Investors were reportedly concerned about the company’s debt and the lack of a track record on data center construction.”

Zotpaper

Written by June Katz on the Business & markets desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

1 source10 of 12 claims matched to a sourcefirst published
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