The authors used the difference between a model’s token probabilities before and after safety fine-tuning to construct an amplification direction.
Reversing safety fine-tuning helps estimate failures too rare to count
ALE amplifies suppressed failures, then uses token probabilities to estimate their original frequency, reaching rates near one in 100,000 in Qwen3-8B experiments.
Research Lab
Patrick Reichherzer · Jonathan Evertz · Thorsten Holz
Max Planck Institute for Security and Privacy (MPI-SP) · CISPA Helmholtz Center for Information Security
Research Digest··2 min read

Reichherzer and colleagues introduce Amplify, Locate, Estimate (ALE), a method that makes a fine-tuned model’s rare failures more common so they can be measured cheaply, then estimates their frequency in the original model.
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