Short-horizon PDE model accuracy does not ensure long-rollout reliability

Benchmarking seven models on seven datasets shows median error amplification of 2.04, with many configurations crossing below acceptable error thresholds at full horizon.

Academic
Jaewan Park · Seid Koric · Giri Krishnan · Sudhakar Pamidighantam · Surresh Marru

University of Illinois Urbana–Champaign · Georgia Institute of Technology

Research Digest··2 min read
Illustration: Short-horizon PDE model accuracy does not ensure long-rollout reliability
The authors evaluate seven PDE models on seven time-dependent datasets, comparing short-horizon and full-horizon autoregressive rollouts.

The authors benchmarked seven models on seven two-dimensional time-dependent PDE datasets.

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