Thinktank warns UK military overstretched by global commitments as spending increase looms

Report calls for shift toward domestic defence, says quarter of budget spent abroad

By LineZotpaper
Published
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A report from the Transition Security Project warns that Britain's military is too focused on global commitments at the expense of domestic defence, and that the government's planned increase in spending risks further waste without a change in posture. The UK has the most overseas-oriented military among European nations, with nearly a quarter of the defence budget committed across five continents, the analysis found.

The report, published by the Transition Security Project, a research centre spun out of the Common Wealth thinktank, argues that the UK's global military orientation is a symptom of a "destructive, outdated foreign policy" that has often made the globe less safe. It says the government's defence investment plan (Dip), which aims to raise spending to 3.5 percent of GDP by 2035, should be accompanied by a strategic reorientation toward domestic defence.

Using figures from 2024/25, the report estimates that about 23 percent of the military budget – more than £14 billion – was spent on overseas commitments. Of that, around £2.8 billion went to bases outside Europe, including in Cyprus, Kenya and Oman, described as "strategic hubs" for projecting UK military power. The UK is the most overseas-committed among European NATO members, even if France has more personnel stationed abroad.

The report questions whether the new money in the Dip will reverse this trend, noting that the plan talks about ongoing commitments across several continents. It points out that since 2001 the UK has spent more than £51 billion in modern terms on interventions in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and elsewhere.

"Britain's decision to maintain a global network of military bases and force projection capabilities, combined with high levels of waste in the military procurement system, raise serious questions about how it is allocating public investment," the report states. It urges the government to "review its military posture, prioritising defence over the global projection of military force."

The report comes amid internal divisions over defence spending. Former defence secretary John Healey resigned over a refusal to commit to reaching 3 percent of GDP by 2030; now chancellor, he has shelved that target. The current plan would double the defence budget from about £70 billion in 2026 to £151 billion by 2035.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The report challenges the core assumption that Britain's global military role serves its security, potentially reshaping the debate ahead of major spending decisions.
  • A shift toward domestic defence could mean fewer overseas bases and interventions, affecting allies and global power projection.
  • The timing aligns with a planned doubling of the defence budget, making the call to fix priorities before spending more especially pointed.

Background

Britain has maintained a global military footprint for decades, with permanent bases in places like Cyprus, Kenya, and Oman. The Transition Security Project report was released as the government pursues a defence investment plan announced in July 2026 under then-prime minister Keir Starmer, aiming for 3.5 percent of GDP on defence by 2035. The same period saw the resignation of defence secretary John Healey, who left over a failure to commit to an earlier 3 percent target. Healey is now chancellor and has shelved that goal. The thinktank has close links to mayor Andy Burnham.

Key Perspectives

[Transition Security Project]: The report argues that the UK's overseas orientation is wasteful and outdated, and that increased spending should go toward direct defence rather than global force projection. It calls for a fundamental review. [UK Government]: The defence investment plan continues to mention commitments across continents, suggesting a continued emphasis on global roles. Internal friction over the pace of increases was evident in Healey's resignation. [Critics/Skeptics]: The report itself questions the wisdom of current posture. Those favouring a global role might argue that overseas bases and operations are vital for deterrence, alliance obligations, and crisis response, though no such counterarguments are included in the report.

What to Watch

  • The government's official response to the report and whether it triggers a formal review.
  • The next budget setting, which will show how the 3.5 percent target is being implemented and where cuts or increases fall.
  • Signals on the future of overseas bases: any announcement of closures or scaling back would show the direction of policy.

Sources

Zotpaper

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