Ukraine resumes attacks on Russian oil refineries, Zelenskyy says energy ceasefire is over

Kyiv accuses US of weakening its position; Musk says US military controls Starlink limits

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Russia said on Thursday that Ukraine had launched a large-scale drone attack on an oil refinery in Ryazan, about 180 km south of Moscow, as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy declared Kyiv was 'done' with the US-brokered energy ceasefire.

Moscow's defence ministry said a fire broke out after drone debris fell on the refinery site, describing it as a 'large-scale attack' on the facility near the Russian capital.

Zelenskyy told the Financial Times that strikes on Russian oil refineries would resume, accusing the US of weakening Ukraine's position by allegedly withdrawing crucial intelligence sharing. The US had pressured Ukraine to halt such attacks, suggesting a suspension and a deal to buy 1.8 million tonnes of diesel from Russia would help lower soaring fuel prices.

'This politically is not simple [in America], because everybody will want to ask how it can be when some people are surviving, fighting, dying – and you make business with the guys with such aggression,' Zelenskyy said.

The ceasefire, unilaterally announced by US President Donald Trump on Sunday, was not publicly confirmed by Kyiv. Ukraine said it suspended attacks on Russian energy sites for several days, but Moscow continued striking Ukrainian energy infrastructure, including a massive attack that killed at least nine people and damaged power sites earlier this week.

Zelenskyy also alleged that Ukraine's access to SpaceX's Starshield satellite internet service was restricted, potentially leaving the military more vulnerable to Russian attacks. In a post on X, Elon Musk said only the US military and Trump had authority to limit Starshield's usage and speed. In a separate post, he called for Zelenskyy to 'go' as Ukraine's leader, writing 'And so the slaughter continues. Time for Zelensky to go.'

Relations between Kyiv and Washington have deteriorated, with Trump calling for Zelenskyy's replacement last Saturday. Zelenskyy said he would be willing to pause strikes on Russian energy sites again, but only if the US supplied Ukraine with Patriot interceptors. He is due to meet European leaders in Brussels on Thursday to push for tougher sanctions on Moscow and faster delivery of support.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The resumption of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries marks the collapse of the US-brokered energy ceasefire, raising the risk of further escalation in the nearly four-year war.
  • Zelenskyy's accusations against the US, including the alleged withdrawal of intelligence sharing and pressure to buy Russian diesel, signal a deepening rift between Kyiv and Washington that could affect the flow of Western military aid.
  • Threats to Starlink services, a critical communications tool for Ukraine's military, could directly impact Ukraine's battlefield capabilities and its ability to defend against Russian attacks.

Background

The energy ceasefire was announced unilaterally by US President Donald Trump on Sunday, without public confirmation from Ukraine or Russia. Kyiv temporarily suspended its attacks on Russian energy sites but resumed strikes after Moscow continued targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure. The US has sought to reduce global fuel prices, proposing a deal for Ukraine to purchase Russian diesel. Ukraine's military relies heavily on SpaceX's Starshield, a military-grade version of Starlink, for operations. Tensions between Zelenskyy and Trump have escalated in recent weeks, with Trump calling for Zelenskyy's replacement.

Key Perspectives

Ukraine: Zelenskyy argues that suspending strikes on Russian refineries without reciprocal action by Moscow is untenable. He links any future pause to the supply of Patriot interceptors from the US, and accuses Washington of weakening Ukraine's position. Russia: Moscow frames the attacks as provocations and continues to strike Ukrainian energy infrastructure, indicating it does not consider itself bound by the US ceasefire. United States and SpaceX: The US administration pressures Ukraine to halt strikes to lower fuel prices, while Elon Musk asserts that only the US military and Trump control Starlink limitations. Musk's call for Zelenskyy to step down aligns with Trump's recent remarks. European allies: Zelenskyy is seeking support in Brussels for tougher sanctions and faster aid, likely viewing Europe as a counterweight to US pressure.

What to Watch

  • Whether the US responds to Zelenskyy's demands for Patriot interceptors and whether intelligence sharing is restored.
  • The outcome of Zelenskyy's meetings with European leaders, particularly any announcements on sanctions or military aid.
  • Further attacks on energy infrastructure in both countries, and any signs of a renewed ceasefire or diplomatic initiative.
  • Whether Starlink service restrictions are lifted or clarified, and how that affects Ukraine's military operations.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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