US Vice President Vance calls for Iran to reduce uranium enrichment, softening earlier demands

New terms emerge as the US-Israel war on Iran enters its eighth month, with Tehran questioning Washington's commitment to negotiations.

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United States Vice President JD Vance has called for Iran to make a meaningful reduction in its uranium enrichment capacity as part of an agreement to end the war, a demand experts say may signal a softening of Washington’s earlier insistence that Tehran abandon enrichment altogether. The comments come as the US-Israel war on Iran enters its eighth month, with hardline rhetoric from other senior US officials and growing skepticism from Tehran.

US Vice President JD Vance has set new conditions for a potential diplomatic resolution to the conflict with Iran, telling Reuters that Tehran must demonstrate its commitment to not developing nuclear weapons by changing its enrichment programme. He questioned why Iran would need 60 percent enriched fuel if it did not want a nuclear weapon, adding that a failure to build highly enriched fuel was a basic threshold issue.

His comments contrast with the harder line taken by other senior US officials. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, speaking to reporters in Athens, reiterated that "Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, simple, period, end of story." He accused Iran of missing several opportunities to reach an agreement and claimed it had "lost complete control" of the Strait of Hormuz and that its economy was in "total and complete freefall."

President Donald Trump has warned that the war will end through either "the nice way or the not-so-nice way."

In Tehran, officials have questioned whether Washington genuinely wants negotiations as the conflict continues. Iran’s government, led by President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, has been in contact with US officials, though Vance noted that "it’s not totally clear how their country makes decisions."

Simon Mabon, a professor of international relations at Lancaster University, told Al Jazeera that the prospect of Iran seeking a nuclear weapon has remained remote. He said Tehran’s negotiators are more concerned with sanctions, frozen Iranian assets, the US naval blockade and fighting across the region – issues he described as the main obstacles to a deal.

The International Atomic Energy Agency reported that Iran had enriched uranium to 60 percent, below the roughly 90 percent considered weapons-grade. In its May 2025 assessment, it found no credible indications of a structured nuclear programme.

Analysts say Vance’s wording leaves open questions about what nuclear restrictions Washington would accept, even as pressure on Tehran remains central to its approach.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Vance's shift from demanding no enrichment to a 'meaningful reduction' could open a path to negotiations, potentially de-escalating a war now in its eighth month.
  • The outcome will determine Iran's nuclear program and regional stability: if talks fail, the conflict may intensify; if they succeed, sanctions relief and asset unfreezing could reshape Iran's economy.
  • The US position is not unified (Vance vs. Rubio and Trump), creating uncertainty about what terms Washington would actually accept.

Background

The US has long sought to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. After the Trump administration withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal in 2018, Iran steadily increased its enrichment capacity. The current war between the US and Israel against Iran has deepened the standoff. Iran enriches uranium to 60 percent, below weapons-grade (90 percent), and the IAEA has found no evidence of a structured weapons program. Economic pressure, including sanctions and a naval blockade, remains central to Washington's strategy.

Key Perspectives

Washington (Vance administration): Willing to accept a negotiated reduction in enrichment rather than full disarmament, signaling a potential softening but still demanding verifiable commitments. Washington (Rubio/Trump): Insist that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon under any circumstances, with Rubio arguing Iran's economy is in freefall and it has lost control of the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran: Skeptical of US intentions, focused on sanctions relief, frozen assets, and the naval blockade as preconditions for agreement. The prospect of a nuclear weapon remains remote, per analysts.

What to Watch

  • Whether Vance's language signals a formal US negotiating position or a trial balloon.
  • Iran's next enrichment milestone: if it moves to 90 percent, diplomatic windows will close.
  • Upcoming IAEA reports for any evidence of a structured weapons program.
  • The trajectory of the war: either side may escalate if talks stall.

Sources

Zotpaper

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