Weight perturbations efficiently estimate extremely rare failures in language-model agents

The authors construct importance-sampling proposals by modifying model weights, allowing probabilities as low as 10^-9 to be estimated without prohibitive naive sampling.

Independent
Hanming Yang · Daksh Mittal · Jing Dong · Hongseok Namkoong
Research Digest··2 min read
Yang et al.

The authors treat an agent’s output as a trajectory of context-dependent actions and estimate the probability that this trajectory produces a specified rare event.

Why this paper

Independent · Part of Agent Security & Attacks, now 26 papers

In one line

Iterative unalignment estimates rare event probabilities in stochastic agent trajectories via gradient-based importance sampling.

What we could check

  • ·No code link found
  • ·No weights link found
  • ·No dataset link found
  • ·No compute details found
  • ·No stated limitations found
  • ·No benchmark numbers found

Observed from the paper text and links we have. Absence here means we did not find it, not that it does not exist.

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