Yemeni government forces announced today they were withdrawing from the area near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait to focus on defending their main base in Aden, in a major setback for the Saudi-backed campaign against the Iran-aligned Houthis.
The announcement signalled the apparent end of a six-week government counter-offensive to reclaim the coast near the mouth of the Red Sea, seized by the Houthis in September in a lightning advance that squeezed oil exports.
"The Southern Armed Forces announce the implementation of a redeployment operation for its forces from Dhubab Airport and the Bab al-Mandeb area, west of Taiz Governorate," the main military force fighting for Yemen's government in the south of the country said in a statement. "This step is taken based on the priority of securing the capital, Aden, and the neighbouring governorates, as well as strengthening the front lines and addressing existing threats."
Yemen's decade-long civil war, which had been dormant since 2022, abruptly reignited this summer as a spillover from the Iran conflict. The Houthis made rapid gains to capture the coast along the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait that controls access to it, while besieging government forces in Taiz, the country's third-biggest city, in mountains above the approach to Aden.
A Saudi-backed government offensive last month rapidly retook key positions around the strait, notably Dhubab, but failed to drive the Houthis entirely away from the area or to retake the city of al-Mocha further up the coast. The Houthis have responded by intensifying drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia, grounding flights with strikes on its main airports as well as setting global energy markets on edge by targeting energy facilities. They also made significant advances in the highland areas north of Aden, cutting off Taiz in early October and putting increased pressure on the disparate coalition of forces fighting for the internationally recognised government.
Around Bab al-Mandeb, the government forces have redeployed to al-Suqyah, just south of Dhubab and 150km west of Aden, but are still trying to push the Houthis from coastal areas nearby, Yemeni military sources said. In the highlands south of Taiz, the Houthis are positioned just outside the district of Tur al-Bahah in Lahj governorate, about 80km from Aden. The Houthi gains around Taiz, which has become the fiercest front of the civil war, undermined the government campaign around Bab al-Mandeb, the military sources said.
Fighting is still intensifying around the western region of Taiz, with humanitarian conditions worsening. The city, which hosts about half of the 300,000 people displaced across Yemen by the latest fighting, remains besieged. Aid supplies are unable to enter, and civilians are unable to leave. Meanwhile, the Houthis have released 600 prisoners, the International Committee of the Red Cross said today.
Analysis
Why This Matters
- The withdrawal risks a Houthi advance on Aden, potentially collapsing the internationally recognised government and further destabilising the region.
- Houthi control of the Bab al-Mandeb Strait threatens Red Sea shipping and global energy markets, as the strait is a critical chokepoint for oil tankers.
- The setback deepens Saudi Arabia's predicament in trying to stop Houthi drone and missile attacks on the kingdom, with no clear end to the conflict.
Background
The Yemeni civil war began in 2014 when Houthi rebels seized the capital Sanaa, forcing the internationally recognised government to flee to Aden. A Saudi-led coalition intervened in 2015 to restore the government, but the conflict has largely stalemated. The war reignited this summer as a spillover from the wider Iran conflict, with the Houthis, backed by Iran, making rapid territorial gains and intensifying attacks on Saudi Arabia and Red Sea shipping. The Bab al-Mandeb Strait is a narrow waterway between Yemen and Djibouti that connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, through which an estimated 10% of global seaborne oil trade passes.
Key Perspectives
Yemeni government forces: said in a statement they are redeploying from Dhubab Airport and the Bab al-Mandeb area to prioritise securing Aden and addressing existing threats.
Houthis: have not responded directly, but have escalated drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia and made advances towards Aden since the government offensive stalled.
What to Watch
- Whether Houthi forces move on Aden in the coming weeks, potentially capturing the government's last major stronghold.
- Saudi Arabia's next steps: a potential escalation of air strikes or ground support, or a shift towards diplomatic engagement.
- The humanitarian situation in Taiz, where aid access has been cut off and civilians remain trapped.
Checked
12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 12 supported.
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- SupportedYemeni government forces are withdrawing from the Bab al-Mandeb Strait in a major setback.RTÉ News: “Yemeni govt forces retreat from strait in major setback.”
- SupportedThe retreat raises the prospect of new Houthi advances towards Aden.RTÉ News: “Today's announcement of a government retreat raises the prospect of new Houthi advances towards Aden”
- SupportedThe Houthis have attacked Red Sea shipping.RTÉ News: “Houthi gains in Yemen and attacks on Saudi Arabia and Red Sea shipping in recent months”
- SupportedGovernment forces announced today they were withdrawing from the area near the strait to focus on defending their main base in Aden, a major setback for the Saudi-backed campaign against the Iran-aligned Houthis.RTÉ News: “Yemeni government forces announced today they were withdrawing from the area near the Bab al-Mandeb Strait to focus on a defence of their main base in Aden, in a major setback for the Saudi-backed campaign against the Iran-aligned Houthis.”
- SupportedThe Southern Armed Forces said: “The Southern Armed Forces announce the implementation of a redeployment operation for its forces from Dhubab Airport and the Bab al-Mandeb area, west of Taiz Governorate,” in a statement.RTÉ News: “"The Southern Armed Forces announce the implementation of a redeployment operation for its forces from Dhubab Airport and the Bab al-Mandeb area, west of Taiz Governorate," the main military force fighting for Yemen's government in the south of the country said in a statement.”
- SupportedThe Southern Armed Forces said: “This step is taken based on the priority of securing the capital, Aden, and the neighbouring governorates, as well as strengthening the front lines and addressing existing threats.”RTÉ News: “"This step is taken based on the priority of securing the capital, Aden, and the neighbouring governorates, as well as strengthening the front lines and addressing existing threats."”
- SupportedThe announcement signalled the apparent end of a six-week government counter-offensive to reclaim coast seized by the Houthis in September in an advance that squeezed oil exports.RTÉ News: “The announcement signalled the apparent end of a six-week government counter-offensive to reclaim the coast near the mouth of the Red Sea, seized by the Houthis in September in a lightning advance that squeezed oil exports.”
- SupportedThe civil war, dormant since 2022, reignited this summer as a spillover from the Iran conflict.RTÉ News: “Yemen's decade-long civil war, which had been dormant since 2022, abruptly reignited this summer as a spillover from the Iran conflict.”
- SupportedA Saudi-backed government offensive last month retook key positions around the strait, notably Dhubab, but did not drive the Houthis entirely away or retake al-Mocha.RTÉ News: “A Saudi-backed government offensive last month rapidly retook key positions around the strait, notably Dhubab, but failed to drive the Houthis entirely away from the area or to retake the city of al-Mocha further up the coast.”
- SupportedThe Houthis intensified drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia, grounding flights with strikes on its main airports and targeting energy facilities.RTÉ News: “The Houthis have responded by intensifying drone and missile attacks on Saudi Arabia, grounding flights with strikes on its main airports as well as setting global energy markets on edge by targeting energy facilities.”
- SupportedGovernment forces redeployed to al-Suqyah, south of Dhubab and 150km west of Aden, while still trying to push the Houthis from nearby coastal areas, Yemeni military sources said.RTÉ News: “Around Bab al-Mandeb, the government forces have redeployed to al-Suqyah, just south of Dhubab and 150km (95 miles) west of Aden, but are still trying to push the Houthis from coastal areas nearby, Yemeni military sources said.”
- SupportedThe Houthis released 600 prisoners, the International Committee of the Red Cross said today.RTÉ News: “Meanwhile, the Houthis have released 600 prisoners, the International Committee of the Red Cross said today.”