AustraliaDeveloping

Snowy 2.0 cost could reach $25 billion as completion delayed to 2029

Revised estimate doubles previous budget, triggering political blame game over Australia's biggest energy project

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time3 min
Sources8 outlets
The cost of the Commonwealth government's troubled Snowy 2.0 pumped hydro scheme has exploded to a potential $25 billion, more than four times its original estimate, with completion now pushed back to late 2029, according to a long-awaited reassessment released by Snowy Hydro on Thursday.

The Albanese government has defended the project's continued value, while the opposition has called for the energy minister's resignation over the latest blowout.

Snowy Hydro chief executive Dennis Barnes said the cost increase was “incredibly disappointing” but that the project was now in its “strongest position yet”. He attributed the blowout primarily to “design immaturity”, with insufficient planning work obscuring the true geotechnical complexity when the project was first conceived. Mr Barnes noted that 65 per cent of machine tunnelling and 90 per cent of cavern excavation had now been completed, with work to build the underground power station underway. However, he could not rule out further cost increases beyond the new targets, saying “there’s never any guarantees with mega projects”.

In a joint statement, Energy Minister Chris Bowen and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher pointed blame at the previous Coalition government, arguing the project had been signed off with underprepared plans. “The government remains transparent about the pressures facing this project and securing the best possible outcome for taxpayers, energy consumers and the grid,” they said. They cited an independent economic assessment that found Snowy 2.0 would improve the availability of low-cost renewable energy and limit wholesale power price spikes.

Opposition energy spokesman Dan Tehan called on Mr Bowen to apologise to taxpayers and said he should resign or be removed. “If the CEO of a company oversaw such blowouts, the board would have no choice but to sack him – Anthony Albanese should do the same to Chris Bowen,” he said.

Alongside the cost review, Snowy Hydro released an economic study by engineering consultant GHD that found the project would contribute $18 billion to Australia’s economy during delivery and reduce wholesale electricity costs by more than $7 billion by 2075.

The project, which involves digging 27 kilometres of tunnels beneath Kosciuszko National Park, is designed as a giant battery using pumped hydro to store energy from wind and solar and release it during demand peaks. It has a capacity of 2200 megawatts and enough storage to power three million homes for a week. Despite the setbacks, Mr Barnes said Snowy 2.0’s “massive, long-duration storage” was essential for grid reliability as ageing coal-fired power stations retire.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Snowy 2.0 is considered critical for Australia’s energy transition as the majority of coal-fired power stations are scheduled to close by 2035, making its success key to grid reliability and price stability.
  • The blowout increases the taxpayer liability for the project, currently wholly owned by the Commonwealth, and raises broader questions about the cost and timeline of Australia’s renewable energy rollout.
  • Delays could leave the grid without sufficient backup capacity during periods of low wind and sun, potentially driving up electricity prices.

Background

Snowy 2.0 was announced in 2017 by then-Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull with an initial budget of $2 billion and a target completion date of 2021. The project involves digging 27 kilometres of tunnels beneath Kosciuszko National Park to link two dams, creating a 2200-megawatt pumped hydro facility designed to act as a giant battery. After a series of setbacks, including tunnelling difficulties and contractor disputes, a “project reset” in 2023 pushed the estimated cost to $12 billion and the delivery date to late 2028. The latest review, which was three months late, has now doubled those figures.

Key Perspectives

  • Snowy Hydro CEO Dennis Barnes: Described the cost increase as “incredibly disappointing” but insisted the project was in its “strongest position yet” and making real progress. He attributed the blowout to “design immaturity” when the project was first conceived and argued the long-term value to grid reliability was stronger than ever.
  • Federal Government (Ministers Bowen and Gallagher): Blamed the former Coalition government for approving underprepared plans and said abandoning Snowy 2.0 would undermine grid reliability, scrap 5000 jobs and lead to higher power bills. They cited an independent economic study showing long-term benefits.
  • Opposition (energy spokesman Dan Tehan): Called for Energy Minister Chris Bowen to resign over the blowout, accusing him of presiding over the cost explosion and failing to deliver value for taxpayers.

What to Watch

  • Snowy Hydro’s CEO could not guarantee that costs will not rise further; any new geological challenges or productivity issues could push the budget above $25 billion.
  • The completion of key construction milestones, particularly the remaining tunnelling work and the installation of turbines, will be closely monitored.
  • The political fallout may influence the upcoming federal election campaign, with the Coalition using the project as a weapon against Labor’s energy policy.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 2 sources: 11 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedSnowy 2.0 could cost up to $25 billion.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “with a contingency buffer bringing the potential price tag to $25 billion”
  2. SupportedCompletion has been delayed to late 2029.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “its completion date has been pushed out to late 2029”
  3. SupportedThe revised estimate doubles the previous budget.Just In: “The cost of delivering Australia's biggest renewable energy project has doubled since the last estimate”
  4. Partly supportedSnowy 2.0 is Australia's biggest energy project.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Australia’s largest renewable energy development”
  5. SupportedBarnes called the cost increase “incredibly disappointing”.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Dennis Barnes, chief executive of Snowy Hydro, on Thursday acknowledged that the cost increase was “incredibly disappointing””
  6. SupportedBarnes said the project was in its “strongest position yet”.Just In: “While Mr Barnes said the project was in its “strongest position yet””
  7. SupportedBarnes attributed the blowout primarily to “design immaturity”, with underdeveloped planning obscuring the project’s geotechnical complexity when it was first conceived.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Barnes attributed the bulk of the cost blowout to “design immaturity”, saying underdeveloped planning work when the project was first conceived had obscured the true scale and geotechnical complexity.”
  8. SupportedMachine tunnelling is 65 per cent complete and cavern excavation is 90 per cent complete.Just In: “The review found 65 per cent of machine tunnelling and 90 per cent of cavern excavation had now been completed”
  9. SupportedBarnes said he could not rule out further cost increases and said, “there’s never any guarantees with mega projects”.Just In: “While Mr Barnes said the project was in its “strongest position yet”, he could not rule out further cost blowouts beyond the most recent targets. “There’s never any guarantees with mega projects”
  10. SupportedBowen and Gallagher blamed the previous Coalition government for signing off on underprepared plans.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher pointed the finger at the previous Coalition government for signing off on underprepared plans.”
  11. SupportedTehan called on Bowen to apologise and said he should resign or be removed as energy minister; he made the quoted comparison with a company CEO being sacked.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “However, opposition energy spokesman Dan Tehan called on Bowen to apologise to taxpayers for the extent to which “costs have blown out under his watch” and said Bowen should resign or be removed as energy minister. “If the CEO of a company oversaw such blowouts, the board would have no choice but to sack him – Anthony Albanese should do the same to Chris Bowen,” he said.”
  12. SupportedThe GHD study found Snowy 2.0 would contribute $18 billion to the economy during delivery and reduce wholesale electricity costs by more than $7 billion by 2075.Just In: “It found the project will contribute $18 billion to Australia’s economy during the delivery phase and reduce wholesale electricity costs by more than $7b by 2075.”

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the Australia & local desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

3 sources11 of 12 claims matched to a sourcefirst published
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