Geopolitics

Geopolitics: wars, alliances, sanctions, trade and the decisions between governments that shape the world.

1264 articles · page 5 of 27

Geopolitics

Israeli forces displace hundreds of families in Hebron as West Bank operation intensifies

Israeli forces have demolished homes and businesses in the occupied West Bank city of Hebron, displacing hundreds of families in an operation Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said would destroy the neighbourhood where two Palestinian gunmen who killed two soldiers came from. The crackdown, launched after Friday's checkpoint attack, has seen bulldozers flatten streets, military cordons restrict movement, and spray-painted markings on buildings cleared of residents. The operation is unfolding four days before Israel's general election, in which Netanyahu faces a tight race.

· 32 sources
Geopolitics

US candidate briefly detained in West Bank as Israel arrests 36, harvest attacks spike

US Democratic congressional candidate Brad Lander was briefly detained by the Israeli military on Wednesday while volunteering to help Palestinian farmers harvest olives in the occupied West Bank, drawing international attention to a sharp escalation in attacks on the annual harvest. In a coordinated campaign reported across the territory, Israeli forces arrested 36 Palestinians during raids, while the Colonization and Wall Resistance Commission documented 17 attacks on farmers and their land in a single day.

Geopolitics

Ukraine splits Donbas command under new chief as Russia grinds toward fortress cities

As Russia escalates its strikes on Ukraine's infrastructure and relations between Kyiv and Washington hit an all-time low, the attritional fight for the Donbas is heading toward what analysts describe as its climax. Moscow is pressing to capture the remainder of Donetsk Oblast while Ukraine, reorganized under a new command structure, is trying to grind down Russia's offensive power before winter. In territorial terms, the Kyiv Independent's analysis says 2026 has been a year of relative success for Ukraine, but the fate of the region's last Ukrainian-held cities now hangs in the balance.

Geopolitics

Fortune Analyst Argues 2027 Taiwan Strait War Timeline Is a Mirage

A prominent argument against the widely predicted 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan has been published by Fortune, with analyst Ningrong Liu contending the countdown to conflict is a mirage. The analysis draws on the civilian development boom in the Chinese province of Fujian, the economic deterrent of Taiwan's semiconductor industry, and a US policy shift under President Donald Trump to argue that Beijing is playing a patient game of integration rather than preparing for imminent war.

Geopolitics

China and Djibouti warn Red Sea instability threatens global economy

Visiting Djiboutian Foreign Minister Abdoulkader Houssein Omar and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi issued a joint communiqué on October 21 expressing 'serious concern' that the escalation of tensions in the Red Sea poses a threat to the global economy and regional stability. The two countries called on all parties involved in Middle East conflicts to pursue dialogue and diplomacy to prevent the crisis from deepening, but offered few concrete measures of their own.

Geopolitics

Western diplomats recount ‘constant paranoia’ in wartime Moscow

Five Western diplomats who served in Moscow since Russia invaded Ukraine have painted a stark picture of life as an ‘unfriendly’ envoy to the BBC. Former US ambassador Lynne Tracy, European counterparts, and other embassy staff described round-the-clock surveillance, isolation from ordinary Russians, and relentless pressure from Russian counterintelligence, conditions they say rival or exceed those of the Cold War.

Geopolitics

Ukraine says Starlink cap remains as Trump vows to fix it, Blumenthal opens probe

Ukraine said on 23 October that Starlink internet speeds for its military remained capped at 161 kilometres per hour, despite US President Donald Trump’s claim that Elon Musk had restored the service. Trump later said he had not spoken to Musk but would “get it straightened out” if a problem persisted. Senator Richard Blumenthal has opened an inquiry into the restrictions, and British Prime Minister Andy Burnham pressed Trump for Ukraine to have full Starlink access.

· 11 sources
Geopolitics

Russia agrees to Ukraine talks but shows little flexibility, Kremlin aide says

A fresh diplomatic push to end the war in Ukraine has resulted in an agreement from Russia to resume talks, but Moscow's foreign policy aide Yuri Ushakov has signalled the Kremlin sees little of value in the latest proposals from Kyiv and Europe. Following what Norway's prime minister called 'good and constructive' discussions in Oslo between US President Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and European representatives, Witkoff travelled to St Petersburg to meet President Vladimir Putin.

· 3 sources
Geopolitics

UK faces 'glaring gaps' in Arctic defence, MPs warn, leaving country vulnerable to Russian attack

The United Kingdom has significant weaknesses in its ability to defend the Arctic region, leaving critical infrastructure including undersea cables and energy supplies exposed to potential Russian attack, according to a report by the House of Commons Defence Committee. MPs warned that in a conflict Russia could threaten the UK's population, infrastructure and vital supply routes across the Atlantic from the United States.

· 2 sources
Geopolitics

Missiles hit Kyiv after Russia agrees to resume peace talks; Zelensky open to ceasefire

Russia launched a missile attack on Kyiv hours after saying it was "ready in principle" to resume peace talks, wounding six people. The strike came as US President Donald Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff met Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg after meeting Volodymyr Zelensky in Oslo, with Jared Kushner participating via video link and Trump claiming the world is "the closest we've been" to ending the war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he would accept a deal freezing the conflict along the current front line.

· 2 sources
Geopolitics

Ukrainian children subjected to re-education and military training under Russian occupation, survivors say

Survivors and human rights lawyers have described a systematic program of indoctrination and military training of Ukrainian children in Russian-occupied territories, with the United Nations concluding last year that Russia is committing crimes against humanity in the regions it controls. The ABC has obtained accounts from victims who say they were beaten, humiliated and forced to adopt Russian identity documents, while those who resist face persecution.

Geopolitics

Two Killed in Houthi Attack on Saudi Airport as Regional Conflict Worsens

Yemen's Houthi movement has claimed responsibility for an attack on an airport in eastern Saudi Arabia that killed two people and injured eight others, Saudi authorities confirmed on Thursday. The attack on King Fahd International Airport in Dammam adds to a sharp escalation in the conflict between the Houthis and the Saudi-led coalition, which has seen at least 21 people killed in Saudi airports since the start of October.

Geopolitics

Netanyahu pledges to overthrow Iran's government, but analysts question viability

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said that toppling Iran's government remains his 'primary objective,' speaking days before national elections as his poll numbers slide. The declaration followed conversations with US President Donald Trump and a visit by Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth, but no indication emerged that Washington has agreed to join another offensive against Iran, let alone a campaign to bring down its leadership.

Geopolitics

UK plans emergency powers to protect undersea cables amid Russian interference fears

The UK government has proposed new emergency powers to protect undersea internet cables and energy pipelines from tampering, citing heightened fears of Russian interference and legal gaps in existing regulations. Ministers would gain the authority to order telecom companies to modify or disable services during national security emergencies, alongside harsher criminal penalties of up to 14 years in prison for intentional damage.

· 3 sources
Geopolitics

EU proposes sweeping new Russia sanctions targeting oil sector as Trump considers further relief

The European Union has proposed 117 new sanctions listings targeting Russia's oil refining, processing and export capacity, in a direct response to President Donald Trump's recent deal to import Russian diesel. The draft sanctions, presented to EU ambassadors on Oct. 21, also target banks, LNG facilities and entities helping Moscow evade restrictions. At the same time, Ukrainian and U.S. officials say the Trump administration may be weighing further sanctions relief for Russia, potentially involving the fertilizer industry, raising fears in Kyiv that Washington is shifting toward economic incentives for Moscow without securing a ceasefire.

· 2 sources
Geopolitics

Settler violence surges during olive harvest in occupied West Bank, Palestinian farmers report

A Palestinian farmer and his teenage son were brutally beaten by masked Israeli settlers during the olive harvest in Beita village, in what locals describe as a sharp escalation of violence across the occupied West Bank. Since September 1, the United Nations has recorded more than 200 attacks on farmers, exceeding the total for the entire harvest season last year. Victims say they have no protection and face a system that shields attackers while the state supports settlement expansion.

Geopolitics

Inside Ukraine's secret drone forensics lab racing to counter Russia's evolving fleet

In a secret Kyiv laboratory, Ukrainian researchers are locked in a technological arms race with Russia, dismantling recovered drones to find vulnerabilities before new modifications turn deadly. The Kyiv Independent received rare access to the Defense Ministry facility, where scientists and engineers analyze wreckage ranging from Iranian-designed Geran drones to North Korean missiles, working against a clock where Russia can adapt its systems in two to three months, faster than the typical four-to-six-month cycle for developing a countermeasure.

Geopolitics

Global PHP security flaw knocks 32 UK government services offline as Streeting urges public preparedness

A worldwide cybersecurity vulnerability in the PHP programming language has taken dozens of UK government services offline, as Defence Secretary Wes Streeting launched a national campaign urging households to prepare for emergencies ranging from cyber attacks to natural disasters. The government has urged Britons to stockpile three days' worth of food, water and other essentials, warning of threats from hostile states and extreme weather.

· 7 sources
Geopolitics

Central Banks Accelerate Gold Stockpiling and Shift Reserves from U.S. as Geopolitical Tensions Mount

Central banks globally are ramping up gold purchases to levels unseen in recent years, with Goldman Sachs estimating that 79 tonnes were bought in August, more than four times the pre-2022 monthly average of 17 tonnes. The buying spree comes alongside a quiet but significant relocation of gold reserves out of the United States to Europe and domestic storage, as governments signal growing distrust in G7 reserve currencies and seek to protect against geopolitical instability.

Geopolitics

Iran announces offensive military doctrine, threatens to invade neighbours if attacked

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has announced a shift to an 'offensive and asymmetrical' defence doctrine, threatening to invade neighbouring countries and strike bases used by the United States if Washington renews attacks. The warning came as the US ordered nonemergency diplomatic personnel to leave Saudi Arabia amid Houthi attacks, oil prices climbed above $110 a barrel, and diplomatic efforts to end the eight-month conflict remained stalled.

Geopolitics

Germany arrests Ukrainian man suspected of spying for Russia

German police on Thursday arrested a Ukrainian man, identified only as Vadym Y., on suspicion of spying for Russia. The Federal Public Prosecutor's Office in Karlsruhe said the suspect used his connections to European defense firms to gather intelligence on armored vehicle production, ammunition, explosives, and military facilities intended to secure NATO's eastern flank, allegedly passing the information to a Russian spy agency since July 2025.

· 7 sources
Geopolitics

US Air Force Breached Agreement by Failing to Notify UK Police of Drink-Driving Airman

The United States Air Force failed to notify British police of a drink-driving allegation against one of its airmen, preventing a UK investigation and breaching a longstanding formal agreement. Airman Christopher Mooty was instead disciplined by a US court martial after a night of drinking in Suffolk in March 2023. The case, revealed by the Guardian, has become part of a series prompting the UK government to establish a high-level inquiry into whether US military personnel in Britain are being properly brought to justice.

· 2 sources
Geopolitics

US and Israel craft detailed strike plans for Iran after midterms, report says

The United States and Israel have developed specific plans for a renewed military campaign against Iran that would target its nuclear facilities, energy infrastructure and missile and drone arsenal, according to senior US officials cited by the New York Times. The operation, described as a 'short but intensive' campaign, is intended to force Tehran into diplomatic concessions by further weakening its economy, which is already under strain from a maritime blockade. However, political calculations around the November 3 US midterm elections and Israel's election next week may delay any immediate action, as President Donald Trump has stated publicly that the US would not attack before the midterms.

· 3 sources
Geopolitics

Ukraine's secret Donbas counteroffensive: Operation Vivaldi reported to liberate 277 square kilometers

The Kyiv Independent has reported on a previously secret Ukrainian counteroffensive, Operation Vivaldi, which has been underway in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast since spring 2026. According to Ukrainian commanders interviewed by the outlet, the operation has liberated 277 square kilometers and 16 villages as of October 14. The account highlights the extreme difficulty of advancing against minefields, drone surveillance, and an entrenched Russian defensive network, but also demonstrates that significant infantry-led advances remain possible on a drone-saturated front line.

Geopolitics

Ukraine says Starlink restrictions persist as Trump orders Musk to lift caps, lawmakers open probe

Ukraine’s top diplomat in Washington says Kyiv has received no response from the Pentagon or SpaceX over restrictions on Starlink and Starshield satellite communications, as a growing bipartisan push for a congressional investigation escalated. President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed on October 23 that speed caps remain in place, and a group of six U.S. lawmakers led by Representative Gregory Meeks and Senator Peter Welch demanded that Elon Musk answer five questions about the disruptions by October 31. Senator Richard Blumenthal also announced a probe into who ordered the limits.

· 2 sources